Before I start, I’d like to direct your attention to an excellent website that focuses on all forms of entertainment called Live in Limbo. It’s run by a friend of mine, and it’s well designed, well informed, and sleek in every sense of the word. Definitely check it out here!
Now the BAFTAs are today and, possibly, even any moment now. They are the British Academy of Film and Television Arts, and they double as both the UK version of the Academy Awards (in terms of prestigiousness) and the Golden Globes (in terms of covering both movies and television shows).
We’ve got some good nominees this year, and let me stop yapping away so I can actually predict these winners before they actually win or lose. So let’s get started!
Argo-It seems to be winning everything so far, and when a movie has such momentum in the awards season, there’s little chance for it to slow down.
Life of Pi
Zero Dark Thirty
Best British film
The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
Les Miserables-Well, you know how this game goes. If a film is nominated for Best Picture, chances are it will dominate the smaller “Best Picture” categories, and this is one of them.
Ben Affleck, Argo-He was snubbed for an Academy Award nomination, but he will probably win it here (unless I am wrong, which could happen easily), because he’s gotten this award from, again, almost every other awards ceremony.
Kathryn Bigelow, Zero Dark Thirty
Michael Haneke, Amour
Ang Lee, Life of Pi
Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained
Ben Affleck, Argo
Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook
Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln-I think it’s safe to say Daniel Day-Lewis is getting the award. Just look up Lincoln on wikipedia and try to prove otherwise at this point. It’s Daniel Plainview all over again!
Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables
Joaquin Phoenix, The Master
Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty-This year is tough when picking between Jennifer Lawrence and Jessica Chastain. I feel like it depends on the ceremony itself. The BAFTAs will take more kindly to Zero Dark Thirty, which is evident based on the amount of nominations it has (including Best Director), and the controversies didn’t hit that side of the pond. The movie itself seems more geared to what BAFTA voters would appreciate in terms of construct and content, but in the end that doesn’t solidify this win. You never know.
Marion Cotillard, Rust and Bone
Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
Helen Mirren, Hitchcock
Emmanuelle Riva, Amour
Best supporting actor
Alan Arkin, Argo
Javier Bardem, Skyfall
Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Master
Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln-This is the toughest category to predict this year. I will go with Mr. Lee Jones because, again, sometimes it is the kind of film that cements a win when the competition is so tight, and Lincoln is easily the most BAFTA approachable film here (despite 1] it being about an American president and 2] Skyfall being the BAFTA darling of the year). I’m still going with Tommy.
Christoph Waltz, Django Unchained
Best supporting actress
Amy Adams, The Master
Judi Dench, Skyfall
Sally Field, Lincoln
Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables-The only other safe option of 2012, Anne Hathaway stole a movie she was barely in, and for good reason. I’d stick with this option, despite the incredible performances by everyone else nominated, especially Amy Adams and Sally Field. This one’s pretty much in the books already.
Helen Hunt, The Sessions
Best original screenplay
Paul Thomas Anderson, The Master
Wes Anderson and Roman Coppola, Moonrise Kingdom
Mark Boal Zero Dark Thirty-Foreign films tend to be nominated as a sign of recognition, but in a year where it isn’t a clear definite win, chances are it may not win (look at the brilliant A Separation last year), so Amour could win but I don’t know if it will. Django Unchained may, but chances are it’s another sign of recognition, and I’m not quite sure if it will beat some of the other categories. Moonrise Kingdom is also like Django Unchained in which the dialogue and writing is excellent, but will it surpass the depths of The Master and Zero Dark Thirty? My final pick goes to Zero Dark Thirty because of the push that movie is getting and the lack of promotion The Master has given.
Michael Haneke, Amour
Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained
Best adapted screenplay
Lucy Alibar and Benh Zeitlin, Beasts of the Southern Wild
Tony Kushner, Lincoln
David Magee, Life of Pi
David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook-This too is a tight race, and I’ll give this one to O. Russell, because, yes, the other nominees were terrific, but Silver Linings Playbook was poetic in a literary sense. Life of Pi dominated visually. Beasts of the Southern Wild was immense socially. Lincoln was driving in a political sense. Argo was thrilling as pretty much all of the above. What puts Silver Linings Playbook just a few centimeters ahead, for me, is how down to earth and personal it is whilst being so well written.
Chris Terrio, Argo
Amour: Michael Haneke, Margaret Ménégoz-See what I wrote about the Best British Film. Also, I think it’s obvious at this point.
Headhunters: Morten Tyldum, Marianne Gray, Asle Vatn
The Hunt Thomas Vinterberg, Sisse Graum Jørgensen, Morten Kaufmann
Rust and Bone: Jacques Audiard, Pascal Caucheteux
Untouchable: Eric Toledano, Olivier Nakache, Nicolas Duval Adassovsky, Yann Zenou, Laurent Zeitoun
The Imposter: Bart Layton, Dimitri Doganis
Marley: Kevin Macdonald, Steve Bing, Charles Steel
McCullin: David Morris, Jacqui Morris
Searching for Sugar Man: Malik Bendjelloul, Simon Chinn- This movie has gotten a lot of buzz because of the connectivity this movie has with its audiences. It’s personal and relatable, as well as being informative.
West of Memphis: Amy Berg
Brave: Mark Andrews, Brenda Chapman
Frankenweenie: Tim Burton- The fight in this category, from what I’ve seen, is between Frankenweenie and Wreck-It Ralph. Ralph appears to be absent from the game, so I’m going with the revival of Frankenweenie’s awards race.
ParaNorman: Sam Fell, Chris Butler
Danny Cohen, Les Miserables
Roger Deakins, Skyfall
Janusz Kaminski, Lincoln
Seamus McGarvey, Anna Karenina
Claudio Miranda, Life of Pi-Not just because it was featured in 3-D, or because it’s possibly the best 3-D I’ve seen yet, but because the movie really plays with the visual inter-workings of a starving straggler’s mind out on sea with a tiger as a friend. The movie really takes advantage of what we see through Pi’s eyes. It’s too gorgeous to ignore.
Stuart Baird, Skyfall
William Goldenberg, Argo-I’ll go with Argo because the final climax and opening scene were mostly engaging and nerve wracking because of how well the pacing was, and that, my friends, is what good editing can do. While Zero Dark Thirty is a close second, I felt like that was more based on atmosphere and established shots. Argo was made on the connection of these shots instead.
Fred Raskin, Django Unchained
Tim Squyres, Life of Pi
Dylan Tichenor, William Goldenberg, Zero Dark Thirty
Best production design
Sarah Greenwood, Katie Spencer: Anna Karenina
Eve Stewart, Anna Lynch-Robinson: Les Miserables-I have a feeling Les Miserables will dominate these kinds of categories, and rightfully so. The movie was great in these aspects.
David Gropman, Anna Pinnock: Life of Pi
Rick Carter, Jim Erickson: Lincoln
Dennis Gassner, Anna Pinnock: Skyfall
Best costume design
Jacqueline Durran, Anna Karenina
Beatrix Aruna Pasztor, Great Expectations
Paco Delgado, Les Miserables
Joanna Johnston, Lincoln-Having said that, Les Miserables did have great costumes, but Lincoln had pitch perfect costumes. Les Miserables was inventive with how people dressed, but Lincoln brought history to life in many ways, and the costumes were one of those ways. I’m going with Lincoln on this.
Colleen Atwood, Snow White and the Huntsman
Best make up and hair
Ivana Primorac, Anna Karenina
Julie Hewett, Martin Samuel, Howard Berger: Hitchcock
Peter Swords King, Richard Taylor, Rick Findlater: The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Lisa Westcott, Les Miserables-I may go with Les Miserables here because of the many eccentric characters that were pieced together in the trailer behind the set. Also a lot of the grieving, wounded citizens during the duration of the film probably deserve some credit, don’t you think?
Lois Burwell, Kay Georgiou: Lincoln
Mark Ulano, Michael Minkler, Tony Lamberti, Wylie Stateman: Django Unchained
Tony Johnson, Christopher Boyes, Michael Hedges, Michael Semanick, Brent Burge, Chris Ward: The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Simon Hayes, Andy Nelson, Mark Paterson, Jonathan Allen, Lee Walpole, John Warhurst: Les Miserables-It’s a musical that broke ground in terms of recording. I think it’s safe to go with this one.
Drew Kunin, Eugene Gearty, Philip Stockton, Ron Bartlett, D. M. Hemphill: Life of Pi
Stuart Wilson, Scott Millan, Greg P. Russell, Per Hallberg, Karen Baker Landers: Skyfall
Best original music
Dario Marianelli, Anna Karenina
Alexandre Desplat, Argo
Mychael Danna, Life of Pi-Danna seems to be doing well in the awards race, and I don’t see why that would stop anytime soon (unless Newman and Skyfall steals it from him).
John Williams, Lincoln
Thomas Newman, Skyfall
Best special visual effects
Paul Franklin, Chris Corbould, Peter Bebb, Andrew Lockley: The Dark Knight Rises
Joe Letteri, Eric Saindon, David Clayton, R. Christopher White: The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Richard Stammers, Charley Henley, Trevor Wood, Paul Butterworth:Prometheus
Bill Westenhofer, Guillaume Rocheron, Erik-Jan De Boer: Life of Pi-Prometheus was stunning, The Avengers was fun, The Hobbit was nostalgic and The Dark Knight Rises was epic. But Life of Pi made believe that a tiger was really there, amongst the many other incredible things going on. I’ll go with the wonders of a Richard Parker that was never really there for the most part.
Nominees TBC: Avengers Assemble
Best short animation
Here to Fall: Kris Kelly, Evelyn McGrath-I won’t lie I haven’t seen any of these, and Paperman is not here, so I’m going to guess. I hope you aren’t betting money with my picks!
I’m Fine Thanks: Eamonn O’Neill
The Making of Longbird: Will Anderson, Ainslie Henderson
Best short film
The Curse: Fyzal Boulifa, Gavin Humphries
Good Night: Muriel d’Ansembourg, Eva Sigurdardottir-The only one I’ve seen, so rightfully so, it’s the only one I can kind of pass judgement on, right?
Swimmer: Lynne Ramsay, Peter Carlton, Diarmid Scrimshaw
Tumult: Johnny Barrington, Rhianna Andrews
The Voorman Problem: Mark Gill, Baldwin Li
Outstanding debut by a British writer, director or producer
Bart Layton (Director), Dimitri Doganis (Producer), The Imposter-This movie’s gotten a lot of publicity and praise, so I’m going to go with this one.
David Morris (Director), Jacqui Morris (Director/Producer), McCullin
Dexter Fletcher (Director/Writer), Danny King (Writer), Wild Bill
James Bobin (Director), The Muppets
Tina Gharavi (Director/Writer), I Am Nasrine
The EE Rising Star award (voted for by public)
Suraj Sharma-This guy basically pulled off 127 Hours with a CGI tiger in a boat. I’m sorry. That’s pretty damn difficult to do. He’s already getting praise for his work and I can see many movies in store for him.